Dies to Removal

In regards to holding chained, i think depends on your hand and your opponent. Do you have burn to remove their t2 wall? Do you have answer to a turn 4 DD or Stormbreath? In my top 4 jund match, I had a Chained in my hand since opener. Once I realized I couldnt remove his Ooze, I decided to chained...

Well . . . here's a real world question that I'm going to look at: I started playing the White version this week on MTGO, and really like it, so I'm planning on playing it this Friday. In the main deck, I don't have 2 Temple of Triumph and 1 Pyrewild Shaman . Assuming I can't get them by Friday, wh...

Question: are there types of mtg deck/hand questions this type of sim is better at answering than others? Well . . . here's a real world question that I'm going to look at: I started playing the White version this week on MTGO, and really like it, so I'm planning on playing it this Friday. In the m...

He had Ooze and enough creatures, he wanted to activate vaults (block), Ooze (Block), the hydra get faltered by Chandra +1 damage he is on 2 - so he then (blocks) with Sylvan Caryatid and then tap before damage activation Ooze to gain one life he is back on 3 my Bird then only deals 2 so he'll be b...

MOCS11- Rematch LIVE VIDEOS G3: PyroWhite vs Black Green Rock Was checking out this video to get some ideas, since BG Midrange has stomped me lately. (Hopefully not a stupid) Question: In game 2 (which was a sweet game, btw), why didn't you dome him with Chandra for 1 and then fly over with the Pho...

Yeah, that's way over my head as far as programming goes. Alas, I know what I want to do, but am not enough of a code sorcerer to do it. EDIT: Ha, HA! F U inferiority complex! I figured it out using Python scripting. Bad Python scripting I'm sure. And all hard-coded. But still, now I know how to do...

It's easier for me to run Monte Carlo simulations instead of trying to make sure I'm getting the hypergeometic distribution right. How do you do that? Could you put together an application that would allow us to enter our own decklists, choose which variables to enter and summarize on (which and ho...

You'd be amazed at how large confidence intervals are for discrete ratios. For example, if you win 13 out of 20 games, you can only be about 80% sure you're parity (50/50) or above. Want to be 80+% confident you're a 60/40 winner? You need to win 22 out of 30 games. Variance is HUGE. I recommend thi...

That's not right, Guttler. The events are dependent which means the probability of both happening is NOT simply the product. Nonetheless, I agree that 22 supports 1 dragon. It's easier for me to run Monte Carlo simulations instead of trying to make sure I'm getting the hypergeometic distribution ri...

The correct land count, with a single Stormbreath Dragon in the 75 is 22. If I can summarize (your excellent) probability analysis: "Don't base your land count on a single SBD. Getting to your SBD is the limiting factor (not playing it once you get it). Adding lands just weakens the rest of yo...

So just got back from SCG IQ where I took 1st place with Walter White! Thanks to everyone on these forums who made it possible. Ill post more in depth match notes tomorrow.

Congrats!

I'm particularly interested your decision to MB a SBD. Looking forward to more details!

No one reads my SB plans

I spent about 45 minutes last night working through your SB plan, trying to make sure I understood everything. It's much appreciated!

I will be defending my thesis in 3 weeks time.

Best of luck! Smash it!!

... don't say you're playing a Pyro deck for the next year... No, I'm sticking with it through the end of the year (i.e., 6 more weeks). Then I might try splashing White for a bit. But, I totally agree with you. Once Born of Gods cycles in, it will be time to re-evaluate. Also . . . I just posted i...

I played PyroRed tonight at FNM and went 4-1 (won the first 8 out of 9 games to go 4-0, then lost the last 2 for a final 4-1) Tweaks to the deck I made beforehand: - Swapped in 2 Annihilating Fire s instead of 2 Flames of the Firebrand - Put in a Wrecking Ogre in place of a Mutavault . (My daughter ...

You're a scientist aren't you?

Ph.D. Chemical Engineer

Here's a more realistic analysis - Strengths: - Ability to (generally) get whatever cards I need (paper and online) - Good at tactics / calculations / playing what's on the board - Methodical / willing to put in effort - Solid understanding of Rules (and I always read/understand the FAQs) Weaknesses...

Yeah, this is something I can participate in.

Don't tell anyone here that you played Vexing Devil

I've corrected my misguided ways. Either that, or it rotated out. Can't remember which.

Hola. Lets be honest, if you're a 3-2 at FNM player, your list of weaknesses is longer than you think. Luckily, we're here to help. LOL . . . okay +Denial to the list of weaknesses. I've got a couple 3-1 results for MTGO Standard Daily. Does that count for anything these days? http://www.mtggoldfis...

Hey Guys, Quick Intro - I'm a casual player looking to get as good as possible given time constraints. I'm currently a consistent 3-2 (sometimes 4-1) at my local FNM (Appleton, WI). I'm heavily invested on paper and online. (Fortunately, money is not much of a constraint.) Strengths: - Analytical / ...

~ What’s the play? Opening hands with Firedrinker & Cackler ~ * coming soon Hey guys . . . new to the forum . . . love what I see . . . and still working through the 37 pages of this thread. Just some quick thoughts on the above: 1) I will generally always play Cackler(s) first, since they have...